[UPDATE: I have a new, improved version of the QIC code and an example of running it here]
Generalized Estimating Equations (GEE) can be used to analyze longitudinal count data; that is, repeated counts taken from the same subject or site. This is often referred to as repeated measures data, but longitudinal data often has more repeated observations. Longitudinal data arises from studies in virtually all branches of science. In psychology or medicine, repeated measurements are taken on the same patients over time. In sociology, schools or other social distinct groups are observed over time. In my field, ecology, we frequently record data from the same plants or animals repeated over time. Furthermore, the repeated measures don’t have to be separated in time. A researcher could take multiple tissue samples from the same subject at a given time. I often repeatedly visit the same field sites (e.g. same patch of forest) over time. If the data are discrete counts of things (e.g. number of red blood cells, number of acorns, number of frogs), the data will generally follow a Poisson distribution.
Longitudinal count data, following a Poisson distribution, can be analyzed with Generalized Linear Mixed Models (GLMM) or with GEE. I won’t get into the computational or philosophical differences between conditional, subject-specific estimates associated with GLMM and marginal, population-level estimates obtained by GEE in this post. However, if you decide that GEE is right for you (I have a paper in preparation comparing GLMM and GEE), you may also want to compare multiple GEE models. Unlike GLMM, GEE does not use full likelihood estimates, but rather, relies on a quasi-likelihood function. Therefore, the popular AIC approach to model selection don’t apply to GEE models. Luckily, Pan (2001) developed an equivalent QIC for model comparison. Like AIC, it balances the model fit with model complexity to pick the most parsimonious model.
Unfortunately, there is currently no QIC package in R for GEE models. geepack is a popular R package for GEE analysis. So, I wrote the short R script below to calculate Pan’s QIC statistic from the output of a GEE model run in geepack using the geese function. It currently employs the Moore-Penrose Generalized Matrix Inverse through the MASS package. I left in my original code using the identity matrix but it is preceded by a pound sign so it doesn’t run. [edition: April 10, 2012] The input for the QIC function needs to come from the geeglm function (as opposed to “geese”) within geepack.
I hope you find it useful. I’m still fairly new to R and this is one of my first custom functions, so let me know if you have problems using it or if there are places it can be improved. If you decide to use this for analysis in a publication, please let me know just for my own curiosity (and ego boost!).
#####################################################################################
# QIC for GEE models
# Daniel J. Hocking
# 07 February 2012
# Refs:
# Pan (2001)
# Liang and Zeger (1986)
# Zeger and Liang (1986)
# Hardin and Hilbe (2003)
# Dornmann et al 2007
# # http://www.unc.edu/courses/2010spring/ecol/562/001/docs/lectures/lecture14.htm
#####################################################################################
# Poisson QIC for geese{geepack} output
# Ref: Pan (2001)
QIC.pois.geeglm <-function(model.R, model.indep){
library(MASS)
# Fitted and observed values for quasi likelihood
mu.R <- model.R$fitted.values
# alt: X <- model.matrix(model.R)
# names(model.R$coefficients) <- NULL
# beta.R <- model.R$coefficients
# mu.R <- exp(X %*% beta.R)
y <- model.R$y
# Quasi Likelihood for Poisson
quasi.R <- sum((y*log(mu.R))- mu.R)# poisson()$dev.resids - scale and weights = 1
# Trace Term (penalty for model complexity)
AIinverse<- ginv(model.indep$geese$vbeta.naiv)# Omega-hat(I) via Moore-Penrose
generalized inverse of a matrix in MASS package
# Alt: AIinverse <- solve(model.indep$geese$vbeta.naiv) # solve via identity
Vr<- model.R$geese$vbeta
trace.R <- sum(diag(AIinverse%*%Vr))
px <- length(mu.R)# number non-redunant columns in design matrix
# QIC
QIC <-(-2)*quasi.R +2*trace.R
QICu<-(-2)*quasi.R +2*px # Approximation assuming model structured correctly
output <- c(QIC,QICu, quasi.R, trace.R, px)
names(output)<- c('QIC','QICu','Quasi Lik','Trace','px')
output}
Hi, thanks for publishing this. But I’m confused, what is the second argument to the function?
Thanks!
Liz
Hi Liz,
I should have explained it in the post. Pan’s (2000) QIC formulation compares the GEE fit with an autoregressive or exchangeable or other parametrization with the same GEE model fit assuming an independent correlation structure. The first argument is the parametrization of interest and the second argument is the same model fit with an “independence” correlation structure using geepack. I actually have a better function written now and am in the process of creating an R package for this were the independent model is calculated within the function, so only one argument is required. I will post it on my blog when I get it finished (early this winter likely, now that the field season is winding down).
Thanks for your interest. Let me know if you have other questions.
Dan
Hi Daniel,
If I want to calculate the QIC for the independent correlation structure, how can I do it? Is it possible?
I’m using your function and thought about this:
qic.pois.geeglm(ajust_independent,ajust_independent)
I obtained a QIC value using it, but I’m not sure about that.
What I need is a relation of QIC values for some different correlation structures.
Thanks!
Vinícius
Hi Vinicius,
Thanks for the interest in the QIC code. It’s still a work in progress. I just updated the code so it should be much improved and provided an example of how to use it. You can just run in with a geeglm model that used and “independence” correlation structure to get the QIC. The new post and code can be found at http://danieljhocking.wordpress.com/2012/11/15/gee-qic-update/
It shows how to run the QIC function on multiple models that use different correlation structures or different predictor variables using the sapply function. In the new code you don’t have to run a separate independent model to input into the QIC function, the independent structure model is automatically run within the QIC function. However, you can still run an independent correlation structure model in the QIC function to get a QIC function. It seems circular but in theory it should provide a reliable QIC value that you can compare with other models that differ in correlation structure. The new function also includes more distribution options (normal, binomial, Poisson, or gamma). Negative binomial is unnecessary in GEE models because there is already an inherent overdispersion term (Phi).
Let me know if you have more questions or if this doesn’t work for you.
-Dan
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Daniel J. Hocking
114 James Hall
Department of Natural Resources & the Environment
University of New Hampshire
Durham, NH 03824
http://danieljhocking.wordpress.com/
“Somewhere, something incredible is waiting to be known” – Carl Sagan
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